Get a full year of our subscription for as low as $10, or 2 months for $5! Find out how.Titled the Superbook, Westgate’s sportsbook meets its hype. Then, I'll note each current Week 11 lookahead line at FanDuel, with the spread listed based on the home team: In essence, if I'm right in my Week 10 evaluation of the team and market, I will have an advantage in predicting where the line movement will come first in Week 11.įor reference, I'll use the initial odds released by Westgate back in May to show you how the game opened. It's an effort to get ahead of the market movement to land the best of the number, which is ideal.

When I take a position on a lookahead line, I believe the current number will beat the closing line. The limits are lower in this lookahead window, but that's not a problem for about 95% of you reading. The key is understanding where the value is on the board in any given week, and that is easier to do once you know what the opening number is. Depending on the bookmaker, and bettor for that matter, you may or may not be able to get the type of action down that you'd like, depending on your unit sizing. These lines are a true indicator of how bookmakers value each team, without the influence of the recency bias that comes after watching eight hours of football earlier in the day. It's also an opportunity to act before the games are posted and sharpened on Sunday evening- after the previous week's games are complete.

This brief lookahead window offers a sneak peek at how teams are valued by bookmakers before the start of the week. So unless you're waiting later in the week because you're betting five to six figures on a side, you're +EV increases if you can get down on a number before it's sharpened by the whales.Įach week of the season, I'll provide a first glance at the upcoming NFL slate through the lens of lookahead lines. Sportsbooks gradually increase the limits they let bettors get down as the week progresses, indicating that the book feels they've priced the game correctly. The only way to consistently put yourself in a position to gain positive expected value (+EV) while betting on NFL sides is to beat the closing line.

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